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Posts Tagged ‘zach miller’

3 Losers & a Douchebag

September 21, 2009 Leave a comment

Loser # 1: Everyone expected NE to go right back to their glory of 2007 when QB Tom Brady returned. And week 1 was a nice start. But in week 2, WR Randy Moss only posted 24 yards. And for that, he is a loser.

Loser # 2: Last week, TE Zach Miller showed everyone why he was considered a sleeper at TE when he caught 6 passes for 96 yards. Then he followed that up by completely disappearing. That should teach us a lesson: Never trust the fat caveman (aka QB Jamarcus Russell). And for teaching us that lesson, he is a loser.

Loser #3: Umm… WTF WR Greg Jennings? Zero catches against CIN? How is that even possible? You know what? I don’t even wanna know. Because either way, you are a loser.

Douchebag: My douchebag this week is personal. QB Matt Schaub (HOU) is my douchebag this week because I recommended that you sit him because he was facing the TEN defense and he struggled in week 1. But instead of struggling, he blew up and threw for 347 yards and 4 TDs, making him the highest scoring QB. What a douchebag.

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Yes… No… Maybe?

September 17, 2009 Leave a comment

“Yes… No… Maybe?” is my version of the start-sit post. For the most part, I avoided the obvious (i.e. “Start Adrian Peterson and Drew Brees!”) and tried to focus on the fringe players. Beginning next week, I will recap how I did the previous week. So, eventually, when it turns out I am wrong all the time, you can pull a Costanza and just do the opposite.

And, just in case you are confused by the obvious nature of the post, here is a key:

Yes = Start these players. They have a high likelihood of performing well.
No = Sit these players. The risk is too high that they will struggle.
Maybe = Start these guys if you do not have better options. They could do well. Or they could fail.

Yes

QB Trent Edwards (BUF) vs. TB: Last week, QB Tony Romo put up a career-high in passing yards against TB. I doubt Edwards will replicate that effort, but he should have a good game. He has the weapons and TB is vulnerable.

RB Ray Rice (BAL) @ SD: OAK was able to push the SD DL around last week and managed to put up some rushing yards. BAL is a better running team, so Rice should get plenty of work. RB Willis McGahee and RB LeRon McClain could steal his TDs, but that is no reason not to use him. He should have around 100 total yards again.

RB Fred Jackson (BUF) vs. TB: Jackson did very well last week in place of suspended RB Marshawn Lynch, and he should have another solid outing against TB, who is not nearly as strong on DEF as most people think.

RB Clinton Portis (WAS) vs. STL: Portis is probably a must-start guy each week, but there are rumors that hsi touches are going to be limited and RB Ladell Betts is going to get more work. But RB Julius Jones went nuts on STL last week, so Portis should have a big day.

WR Louis Murphy (OAK) vs. KC: Yes, I know he has the fat caveman throwing him the ball. But there are just not many other options in OAK outside of TE Zach Miller (here’s a free one: Start Miller, too). Murphy was inches away from scoring 2 TDs last week and should have another good day against a KC pass DEF that struggles.

NO

QB Jay Cutler (CHI) vs. PIT: I doubt Cutler wil blow up and have 4 INTs again — although it would be awesome if he did — but I would consider other options this week. PIT is very good on DEF and could give him troubles, just like GB did with their version of the 3-4.

QB Matt Schaub (HOU) @ TEN: Schaub struggled last week against NYJ, and TEN is just as good or better than NYJ against the pass. TEN does not have a shutdown CB like NYJ has in CB Darrelle Revis, but I think they will contain Schaub enough to make him bench-worthy. Plus, I think his ankle is still bothering him.

RB LaDainian Tomlinson (SD) vs. BAL: LT is banked up with an ankle injury and is expected to be a game-time decision. Even if he does play, I have very little confidence that he will have a good day against the BAL DEF.

RB Steve Slaton (HOU) @ TEN: This was a tough one. Partly becuase I have him in one of my leagues. But also because, last year, he was the only RB to put up over 100 yards rushing on TEN. And he did it twice. So he is a lock to have a good game again, right? I wish. I think he will struggle. He is a borderline “no/maybe” though. Start him if you are really desperate.

WR Devin Hester (CHI) vs. PIT: But for one blown coverage last week in the GB game, Hester did nothing. I do not think PIT will blow coverage and let him get behind them, even without SS Troy Polomalu.

MAYBE

RB Pierre Thomas (NO) @ PHI: Thomas claims to be healthy and ready to go. If this is true, he should get enough work against PHI to make him worthy of a start. I think RB Mike Bell will continue to get some reps as they ease Thomas back in, but Thomas will be the man once he is 100%.

RB Darren Sproles (SD) vs. BAL: I am not sure why I hate Sproles. I was not high on him coming into this year. And now, even with LT hurt, I am still not all that high on him. He is very involved in the passing game, which is great. But he simply is not an every-down RB. However, with LT out, he makes a good start if you do not have other options. But I think BAL will do a better job of containing him than OAK did.

RB Kevin Smith (DET) vs. MIN: Smith could have an okay day, because he is involved in the passing game. And that is the only reason he is a “maybe” and not a “no”. MIN is just too stout against the run. But this has “trap game” written all over it… MIN has all the hype, and DET has not won a game in a long time. Who knows a good bookie? I just got paid…

RB Willie Parker (PIT) @ CHI: I am not a fan of FWP this year. He looked very marginal in week 1. And the PIT OL is not great. But CHI is without MLB Brian Urlacher, which makes him slightly more attractive.

WR Laurent Robinson (STL) @ WAS: Robinson had a solid week 1 and led the team in targets. And he had a couple red zone looks. STL is gonna be losing so they will have to pass. Which makes him a sneaky WR3 play this week if you need help.

Leave a comment and let me know what you think. Or, if you have other start-sit dilemmas, leave a comment and I will respond.

Week 2 Waiver Wire

September 15, 2009 Leave a comment

Here are some names to consider adding to your roster if they are available in your league:

QB Trent Edwards (BUF): He has OL issues, but he also has weapons. A solid backup.

QB Joe Flacco (BAL): Flacco looked sharper than expected in his first action of 2009. He could surprise some people this year.

RB Cedric Benson (CIN): He is the main ball carrier in CIN. Which is worth something.

RB Mike Bell (NO): His value depends on the health of RB Pierre Thomas, who could be back as soon as this week. But if Thomas misses any more time, Bell is a good short-term fix.

RB Michael Bush (OAK): The Raiders love to run the ball, and Bush looked pretty good against SD. He is in a RBBC with RB Darren McFadden, but he appears to be the goal line RB.

RB Cadillac Williams (TB): I love Cadillac for coming back from not one, but two patella tendon injuries and still looking like a real NFL RB. But I hate the fact that this means I will have to deal with awful car-related puns and jokes all season.

RB Tim Hightower (ARI): Hightower fell in drafts and even went undrafted in many leagues due to concerns that RB Beanie Wells would steal his carries. But ARI used him extensively, especially in the passing game, in week 1.

WR Chaz Schilens (OAK): Schilens probably will not be back this week, but he could be back next week. I think he has the potential to be a solid WR3 once he works his way back into game-shape.

WR Kenny Britt (TEN): Britt made a pretty good showing in week 1 for a TEN team that threw the ball surprisingly well.

WR Steve Smith (NYG): Smith is a solid possession WR that should get consistent looks — he had 8 in week 1 — but likely will never have a blow up game.

WR Justin Gage (TEN): Yeah. Two TEN WRs. Who knew? Gage had 7 catches for 78 yards and a TD in week 1.

WR Austin Collie (IND): Collie should get quite a few more looks with WR Anthony Gonzalez sidelined.

TE Jeremy Shockey (NO): After having zero TDs last year, Shockey had 2 TDs in week 1. I think he will have a solid year.

TE Zach Miller (OAK): Based on the game against SD, QB Jamarcus Russell, Miller could get a lot of looks. Which might even turn into a few catches.

TE Brent Celek (PHI): As expected, Celek was a big part of the passing game in PHI. If McNabb is out for any extended period of time, Celek could become even more valuable, as any backup QB will likely look for an outlet.

Did I forget anyone? Probably. But this is good enough for now.

Preseason Wrapup

September 1, 2009 Leave a comment

Yeah, I know. There is still one week of the preseason left. But the starters rarely play any significant amount of time in the 4th preseason game. So now seems like as good a time as any to look back at the preseason and see what we learned.

So, with that in mind: I know it’s only preseason, but…

1. The Packers offense looks very good. I have said a few times already that I expect QB Aaron Rodgers to end the season as the top scoring player in fantasy (and to back this up, I picked him in two of my three leagues so far this year). Rodgers has looked very sharp in the preseason, completing 27 of 38 passes for 458 yards, with 6 TDs and no interceptions — and he did this in approximately 4 quarters of play. Which is, like, pretty good. Beyond Rodgers, though, there is RB Ryan Grant, who should get 300 carries and rebound from his poor 2008, WR Greg Jennings, who is a top-10 (and maybe even top-5) WR, WR Donald Driver, who is an undervalued WR3, and sleepers such as WR James Jones and TE Jermichael Finley, who could put up good numbers in an offense that should be in the top 5 in the league.

2. We have no idea what TO will do in Buffalo. TO looked like he could still play early during BUF’s 1st preseason game. But that is all we saw of him. He has missed the rest of the preseason with a mysterious toe injury. I have my own issues with TO — mostly related to the QB and OL in BUF — but there is no denying the guy’s talent. If you like to gamble, you can probably get a pretty good deal on him.

3. Chris Henry could be very good. I have had this kid on many of my fantasy teams in the past, only to end up disappointed by his inconsistency and apparent stupidity. But now it seems like he has things figured out. He caught a TD in each of the preseason games, and is a prime candidate to replace the production that went with WR TJ Houshmandzadeh to SEA. He is a great sleeper pick.

4. Brett Favre still has it. At least for a few more weeks. No one really doubted that Favre could still play. I think the real question is whether he can still play for 16 (or 19 or 20) weeks. I suspect he will look pretty sharp during the early portion of the season, but judgment day(s) will come later in the year when he is getting tired and beat up. Will he still have the desire? Will his body hold up? Who knows. But he does give the other offensive players in MIN a boost — at least in the short-term.

5. We have no idea what any of the rookie RBs will do. There is some great talent at RB in this year’s rookie class. Unfortunatley, we still do not know whether any of them will be productive. We finally got to see RB Beanie Wells last week against GB, and he looked good, but questions linger about his injury issues. Everyone was excited when RB Knowshon Moreno ended his holdout, but he only lasted half a game and then was injured. And we still have no idea how DEN plans to use him. RB Donald Brown was a popular sleeper pick, but IND does not seem like it has any plans to give up on RB Joseph Addai any time soon. RB LeSean McCoy finds himself in a similar position — if (when?) RB Brian Westbrook goes down, McCoy should blow up. But what if that does not happen? Enough people are predicting Westbrook’s demise that I am convinced it is not going to happen. RB Shonn Greene is also waiting behind an aging veteran. But we have no idea when or if he will see the field. In fact, out of all the rookie RBs, RB James Davis might have the best chance of seeing the field sooner rather than later. He is stuck behind an ineffective and aging RB Jamal Lewis, and there have been rumors that Lewis might not make the final roster. (But you know how rumors go…) Overall, I think Wells has the best chance to have a big fantasy season, but Brown and McCoy could blow up if injuries open the door. And keep an eye on Davis — he is a sleeper if I ever saw one.

6. The Seahawks could surprise some people. SEA was terrible last year. But that was mostly due to a rash of injuries. Although they still have some issues along the OL, and RB Julius Jones does not scare [m]any teams, their offense could be pretty good. QB Matt Hasselbeck is a sleeper at QB, WR TJ Houshmandzadeh is a very good value at WR, TE John Carlson is a great value at TE, and WR Deon Butler is a deep sleeper. Shoot, even Jones is the main ballcarrier, so he should put up solid yardage totals and can likely be picked very late in your draft.

7. Eli Manning is still a mouthbreather. Nothing has changed. Except now he has lost his favorite target at WR. Which means he will probably do a lot more mouthbreating and blaming his teammates when things do not go right.

8. The Raiders are one messed up franchise. There are guys in OAK with potential — RB Darren McFadden, RB Michael Bush, WR Chaz Schilens, TE Zach Miller — but can we really trust anyone in OAK to produce on a weekly basis? The team is so dysfunctional that it seems foolish to draft any of them. Which really makes me wonder why I took both Bush and Schilens in one of my recent drafts…

9. Brady and Moss could return to their 2007 form. The circus that is the Brady-to-Moss connection could be back. They make it look too easy. Way too easy. Which is why I made sure to grab Moss in a couple of my leagues. I expect him and Brady to put up huge numbers. And since Moss is going as the 3rd or 4th WR, he is a great value, because he could very well end up as the number 1 WR at the end of the year — especially since the other top WRs — WR Larry Fitzgerald, WR Andre Johnson, and WR Calvin Johnson — all have QB health/quality issues.

10. Fantasy football is fun. I am so glad the season is (almost) here. I have been thinking about this sh!t way too long. So I am happy that the season is right around the corner…

Should I really draft a guy named Chaz?

August 14, 2009 Leave a comment

UPDATE: As you may already know, WR Chaz Schilens broke a bone in his foot during practice. He is expected to miss the rest of the preseason and his availability for Week 1 is in doubt. This obviously hurts his fantasy value, but he is still worth a late-round pick in most drafts.

UPDATE No. 2: Schilens had surgery on his foot and is now out 4-6 weeks. If you have room on your bench, he is still worth a late-round pick in your draft, because he should be productive once he returns after the first couple weeks of the season. If you do not have a roster spot to waste on an injured sleeper WR, then keep an eye on his recovery progress and try to grab him off waivers a week or so before he is ready to return.

———————-

Yes. But not until late in your draft. People will probably laugh at you. But you will get the last laugh when he starts posting solid numbers.

Raiders WR Chaz Schilens looked pretty good in last night’s preseason game against the Cowboys. He ended up with 5 catches for 52 yards, and was targeted by QB Jamarcus Russell 4 times on the first drive. Schilens also drew a 47-yard pass interference penalty that set up a Raiders FG. Obviously you do not get fantasy points for PI penalties, but it shows that Russell was looking for him downfield.

Schilens is a second-year player out of San Diego State who has great size (6-4, 225). He only had 15 catches last year, but he had 6 catches for 98 yards and 2 TDs in weeks 16 and 17.

Schilens is nothing more than a late-round sleeper prospect, but if he continues to be Russell’s favorite target, he is worthy of a pick in your draft. Speedsters WR Darrius Heyward-Bey and WR Johnnie Lee Higgins might catch a few bombs now and then, but they will probably be too inconsistent. Schilens, however, appears to be a solid possession WR who has the size to also be a redzone threat.

And speaking of the Raiders, Russell looked competent as a QB. He finished 6-9 for 50 yards, which is not overly impressive, but he looked calm in the pocket. I would not suggest drafting him as a QB2 or anything, but it does bode well for guys like Schilens, TE Zach Miller, and the rest of the offense. Because if Russell plays poorly, the offense will stall.

TE Rankings

August 7, 2009 Leave a comment

My TE Rankings are (finally) up for your 2009 fantasy draft preparation. No real surprises here. Some other people have Gonzo ranked above Witten. But I think Witten is going to have a great year now that TO is gone. Before he and Romo got injured last year, he was having an unreal year. Even with the injuries, he stil had a great year. I think he stays healthy in 09 and is far and away the best TE.

Here are my top 10 TEs:

1. Jason Witten (DAL)
2. Antonio Gates (SD)
3. Tony Gonzalez (ATL)
4. Greg Olsen (CHI)
5. Dallas Clark (IND)
6. Owen Daniels (HOU)

7. Chris Cooley (WAS)
8. . John Carlson (SEA)
9. Kellen Winslow (TB)
10. Zach Miller (OAK)

Click here for the rest of the TE Rankings.

Week 14: Start/Sit (Thursday Edition)

December 3, 2008 1 comment

Here are some start/sit suggestions for Thursday night’s matchup between San Diego and Oakland:

START:

QB Philip Rivers (SD): Oakland has a pretty good pass defense, but I think Rivers will play well enough to keep in the lineup.

RB LaDainian Tomlinson (SD): Sure, he is not his “usual” self this year, but he should put up respectable numbers against the Raiders.

RB Justin Fargas (OAK): He is the starter and has been playing well enough to warrant a start against a fairly weak Chargers defense.

WR Malcom Floyd (SD): Someone has to catch the ball, right?

TE Antonio Gates (SD): He is a must-start at TE.

TE Zach Miller (OAK): He has been playing well enough to warrant a start.

SIT:

QB Jamarcus Russell (OAK): I cannot even recommend him against the Charges pass defense…

RB Darren McFadden (OAK): He had one good game this year, but otherwise has been a pretty big disappointment.

WR Ashley Lelie (OAK): Seriously?

WR Vincent Jackson (SD): Zero catches last week, and he will likely be matched up against CB Nnamdi Asomugha for at least part of the game. It is unlikely that he will do much.

WR Chris Chambers (SD): I am not convinced he is 100% healthy, and his recent play supports that theory.