Archive

Posts Tagged ‘kevin smith’

Week 3 Injury Update

September 28, 2009 1 comment

Here are some key injury updates…

QB Chad Pennington (MIA): Pennington (shoulder) could be done for the year. QB Chad Henne will likely take over, and could be a decent QB2 against favorable matchups. But I would wait and see what he does.

QB Marc Bulger (STL): Bulger (shoulder) could miss some time. If he is out, QB Kyle Boller will start in his place. Boller actually looked alright against GB.

RB Frank Gore (SF): Gore (ankle) could miss a couple weeks. Go get RB Glenn Coffee now.

RB Kevin Smith (DET): It sounds like Smith (shoulder) should be okay, but if you own him, consider adding RB Maurice Morris.

RB Brian Westbrook (PHI): Westbrook (ankle) missed this week’s game with an ankle injury, and it is not clear when he will be back. Go get RB LeSean McCoy now.

RB Marion Barber (DAL): Barber (thigh) is inactive for the game tonight against CAR. Watch to see how DAL uses RB Felix Jones and RB Tashard Choice tonight, because Barber could miss another game or two.’

RB Jamal Lewis (CLE): Lewis was out this week. RB James Harrison got most of the carries in his absence, with RB James Davis getting some touches, as well. But neither really did much. And I would probably avoid any CLE players for the time being, given their woes on offense.

RB Willie Parker (PIT): Parker (toe) is dealing with a minor case of turf toe, which is a notoriously annoying injury. If Parker misses any time, RB Rashard Mendenhall would get the start. Although he has not looked good and the PIT OL is marginal.

WR Wes Welker (NE): Welker missed his second game in a row. WR Julian Edelman played in his place but did not have another Welker-esque outing. Edelman could be worth a roster spot, though, if Welker misses any more time.

WR Laurent Robinson (STL): Robinson (ankle) is likely done for the year after breaking his lower leg. Which is too bad. He was having a great start to the season. I expect WR Keenan Burton to get some extra looks with Robinson out.

WR Chris Henry (CIN): Henry (thigh) has been battling a leg injury all year, which could explain why he has yet to explode onto the scene like I expected/predicted. Or maybe he is just not going to explode. Either way, while he is slowed by injury, WR Andre Caldwell seems to be getting some extra looks.

Yes… No… Maybe?

September 17, 2009 Leave a comment

“Yes… No… Maybe?” is my version of the start-sit post. For the most part, I avoided the obvious (i.e. “Start Adrian Peterson and Drew Brees!”) and tried to focus on the fringe players. Beginning next week, I will recap how I did the previous week. So, eventually, when it turns out I am wrong all the time, you can pull a Costanza and just do the opposite.

And, just in case you are confused by the obvious nature of the post, here is a key:

Yes = Start these players. They have a high likelihood of performing well.
No = Sit these players. The risk is too high that they will struggle.
Maybe = Start these guys if you do not have better options. They could do well. Or they could fail.

Yes

QB Trent Edwards (BUF) vs. TB: Last week, QB Tony Romo put up a career-high in passing yards against TB. I doubt Edwards will replicate that effort, but he should have a good game. He has the weapons and TB is vulnerable.

RB Ray Rice (BAL) @ SD: OAK was able to push the SD DL around last week and managed to put up some rushing yards. BAL is a better running team, so Rice should get plenty of work. RB Willis McGahee and RB LeRon McClain could steal his TDs, but that is no reason not to use him. He should have around 100 total yards again.

RB Fred Jackson (BUF) vs. TB: Jackson did very well last week in place of suspended RB Marshawn Lynch, and he should have another solid outing against TB, who is not nearly as strong on DEF as most people think.

RB Clinton Portis (WAS) vs. STL: Portis is probably a must-start guy each week, but there are rumors that hsi touches are going to be limited and RB Ladell Betts is going to get more work. But RB Julius Jones went nuts on STL last week, so Portis should have a big day.

WR Louis Murphy (OAK) vs. KC: Yes, I know he has the fat caveman throwing him the ball. But there are just not many other options in OAK outside of TE Zach Miller (here’s a free one: Start Miller, too). Murphy was inches away from scoring 2 TDs last week and should have another good day against a KC pass DEF that struggles.

NO

QB Jay Cutler (CHI) vs. PIT: I doubt Cutler wil blow up and have 4 INTs again — although it would be awesome if he did — but I would consider other options this week. PIT is very good on DEF and could give him troubles, just like GB did with their version of the 3-4.

QB Matt Schaub (HOU) @ TEN: Schaub struggled last week against NYJ, and TEN is just as good or better than NYJ against the pass. TEN does not have a shutdown CB like NYJ has in CB Darrelle Revis, but I think they will contain Schaub enough to make him bench-worthy. Plus, I think his ankle is still bothering him.

RB LaDainian Tomlinson (SD) vs. BAL: LT is banked up with an ankle injury and is expected to be a game-time decision. Even if he does play, I have very little confidence that he will have a good day against the BAL DEF.

RB Steve Slaton (HOU) @ TEN: This was a tough one. Partly becuase I have him in one of my leagues. But also because, last year, he was the only RB to put up over 100 yards rushing on TEN. And he did it twice. So he is a lock to have a good game again, right? I wish. I think he will struggle. He is a borderline “no/maybe” though. Start him if you are really desperate.

WR Devin Hester (CHI) vs. PIT: But for one blown coverage last week in the GB game, Hester did nothing. I do not think PIT will blow coverage and let him get behind them, even without SS Troy Polomalu.

MAYBE

RB Pierre Thomas (NO) @ PHI: Thomas claims to be healthy and ready to go. If this is true, he should get enough work against PHI to make him worthy of a start. I think RB Mike Bell will continue to get some reps as they ease Thomas back in, but Thomas will be the man once he is 100%.

RB Darren Sproles (SD) vs. BAL: I am not sure why I hate Sproles. I was not high on him coming into this year. And now, even with LT hurt, I am still not all that high on him. He is very involved in the passing game, which is great. But he simply is not an every-down RB. However, with LT out, he makes a good start if you do not have other options. But I think BAL will do a better job of containing him than OAK did.

RB Kevin Smith (DET) vs. MIN: Smith could have an okay day, because he is involved in the passing game. And that is the only reason he is a “maybe” and not a “no”. MIN is just too stout against the run. But this has “trap game” written all over it… MIN has all the hype, and DET has not won a game in a long time. Who knows a good bookie? I just got paid…

RB Willie Parker (PIT) @ CHI: I am not a fan of FWP this year. He looked very marginal in week 1. And the PIT OL is not great. But CHI is without MLB Brian Urlacher, which makes him slightly more attractive.

WR Laurent Robinson (STL) @ WAS: Robinson had a solid week 1 and led the team in targets. And he had a couple red zone looks. STL is gonna be losing so they will have to pass. Which makes him a sneaky WR3 play this week if you need help.

Leave a comment and let me know what you think. Or, if you have other start-sit dilemmas, leave a comment and I will respond.

“I Love You, Man”

July 23, 2009 Leave a comment

Every year, there are guys who are not rated as highly as I think they should be. And then there are some guys who, for some reason or another, I simply fall in love with. You cannot really call most of these guys “sleepers”, since they are definitely on peoples’ radars. But they are guys who I think are underrated.

QB Aaron Rodgers (GB): Yes, he is consistently ranked as a top-10 QB, and even top-5 on a lot of lists. But he was second only to QB Drew Brees last year in total scoring. And I think he will only get better in 2009. The Favre-saga is [mostly] behind him and now he is the unquestioned leader of the team. I have him ranked 3rd, after Brees and QB Tom Brady.

RB Steven Jackson (STL): The more I think about Jackson, the more I like him. And its not just because of his sweet Nike commercials. Last year, Jackson held out thru training camp. And, in the history of the NFL, that basically guarantees that you will get injured. (RB Ryan Grant suffered the same fate.) However, this year, he comes into camp ready to play. And the Rams’ line is much-improved. I think Jackson will return to fantasy stardom. He is not without risk, however.

RB Steve Slaton (HOU): Slaton has everything you want in a top fantasy RB: (1) youth, (2) running ability, (3) receiving ability, (4) a high-powered offense, and (5) no potential threat as a backup. Last year, Slaton surprised many with his combo of running and receiving skills, and posted over 1600 yards and 10 total TDs. I think he will be even better this year. And I am not at all worried about RB Chris Brown or RB Ryan Moats taking carries away from him. Which is a huge plus these days.

RB Marion Barber (DAL): Barber was expected to blow up last year. But injuries limited him in the second-half of the season. Guys like Barber can be annoying in fantasy football: They are too tough to sit down when they are hurt, but they are less effective (for fantasy purposes). It was clear his toe injury was bothering him. But I think he will be back this year. He may never be a full-time RB, due to the flexibility and talent of RB Felix Jones and the emergence of backup RB Tashard Choice, but he is still the most complete RB on that team, and he has one of the best noses for the endzone in the NFL.

RB Ryan Grant (GB): He struggled last year because he tried to play through a hamstring injury after missing camp due to a holdout. But he should come in this year healthy and ready to pick up where he left off in 2008. For some reason, the Packers like to utilize one RB, which is good for Grant. Barring injury, I think he will end the year as a borderline RB1.

RB Kevin Smith (DET): Smith quietly put up a very solid rookie season in 2008. And keep in mind, he did that while sharing carries with RB Rudi Johson (seriously?) early in the year and while playing for the 0-16 Lions, who were constantly playing from behind. I do not expect the Lions to be much better than last year, but Smith should be the unquestionable starter and get quite a few carries. I think he is a solid RB2.

RB Ray Rice (BAL): I think the RB Willis McGahee experiment in Baltimore is about to end. Rice looked very good last year and McGahee has struggled mightily with injuries lately. Plus, he seems to have lost his explosion and desire. Rice, on the other hand, has both. Unfortunatley, as long as McGahee (and FB/RB Le’Ron McClain) is in the picture, Rice will not be the stud he could otherwise be. Watch the news from Ravens camp to see how the team decides to use these guys.

WR Terrell Owens (BUF): It hurts my [football] soul to even include him on this list, but I do think TO is underrated this year. QB Trent Edwards is a better than you think. And WR Lee Evans is better than anyone TO has had across from him in awhile. Plus, TO always has a one-year honeymoon period with his new team, before he starts tearing them apart from the inside. And he only has a one-year contract. Much like WR Randy Moss when he first showed up in New England, TO will have something to prove.

WR Dwayne Bowe (KC): He is ranked pretty high on most lists, but not high enough, if you ask me. This guy is a stud. And he put up very good numbers over the past couple years with very marginal QBs . In 2008, he was third to only WR Brandon Marshall and WR Andre Johnson in targets among WRs. And QB Matt Cassel is clearly better than the previous KC QBs. So Bowe should benefit. And without TE Tony Gonzalez, Bowe should become the primary redzone target.

Week 16: RB Rankings

December 19, 2008 Leave a comment

Here are your Week 16 RB Rankings. And check out the QB Rankings and WR Rankings.

  1. Pierre Thomas @ DET
  2. Matt Forte vs. GB
  3. Michael Turner @ MIN
  4. Adrian Peterson vs. ATL
  5. Thomas Jones @ SEA
  6. Steve Slaton @ OAK
  7. Brian Westbrook @ WAS
  8. DeAngelo Williams @ NYG
  9. Steven Jackson vs. SF
  10. Marshawn Lynch @ DEN
  11. Kevin Smith vs. NO
  12. Ronnie Brown @ KC
  13. Sammy Morris vs. ARI
  14. Chris Johnson vs. PIT
  15. Clinton Portis vs. PHI
  16. Ryan Grant @ CHI
  17. LaDainian Tomlinson @ TB
  18. Derrick Ward vs. CAR
  19. Justin Fargas vs. HOU
  20. Brandon Jacobs vs. CAR
  21. Cedric Benson @ CLE
  22. Willie Parker @ TEN
  23. Larry Johnson vs. MIA
  24. Kevin Faulk vs. ARI
  25. Le’Ron McClain @ DAL

Week 15: RB Rankings

December 11, 2008 Leave a comment

I like rankings better than the start/sit recommendations. Because it allows me to be “kinda right” and “kinda wrong” instead of “definitely right” or “absolutely wrong”.  Either  way, here are my RB rankings for week 15. Also, check out my QB Rankings.

  1. Brian Westbrook @ CLE
  2. DeAngelo Williams vs. DEN
  3. Maurice Jones-Drew vs. GB
  4. Chris Johnson @ HOU
  5. Dominic Rhodes vs. DET
  6. Michael Turner vs. TB
  7. Matt Forte vs. NO
  8. Adrian Peterson @ ARI
  9. Clinton Portis @ CIN
  10. Ryan Grant @ JAX
  11. Reggie Bush vs. CHI
  12. Kevin Smith vs. IND
  13. Thomas Jones vs. BUF
  14. Brandon Jacobs @ DAL
  15. LaDainian Tomlinson @ KC
  16. Pierre Thomas vs. CHI
  17. Steven Jackson vs. SEA
  18. LenDale White @ HOU
  19. Steve Slaton vs. TEN
  20. Jonathan Stewart vs. DEN
  21. Marion Barber vs. NYG
  22. Ronnie Brown vs. SF
  23. Sammy Morris @ OAK
  24. Warrick Dunn @ ATL
  25. Justin Fargas vs. NE
  26. Marshawn Lynch @ NYJ
  27. Kevin Faulk @ OAK
  28. Larry Johnson vs. SD
  29. Tim Hightower vs. MIN
  30. Maurice Morris @ STL
  31. DeShaun Foster @ MIA
  32. Cedric Benson vs. WAS
  33. Le’Ron McClain vs. PIT
  34. Mewelde Moore @ BAL
  35. Jamal Lewis @ PHI
  36. Willie Parker @ BAL
  37. Tatum Bell @ CAR
  38. Willis McGahee vs. PIT

Week 14: RB Rankings

December 4, 2008 Leave a comment

As I said, I am trying something new: Rankings. I also ranked the QBs. And the WRs. Let me know what you think.

  1. Adrian Peterson (MIN) @ DET
  2. Matt Forte (CHI) vs. JAX
  3. Steve Slaton (HOU) @ GB
  4. Chris Johnson (TEN) vs. CLE
  5. Michael Turner (ATL) @ NO
  6. Peyton Hillis (DEN) vs. KC
  7. Thomas Jones (NYJ) @ SF
  8. Brandon Jacobs (NYG) vs. PHI
  9. Frank Gore (SF) vs. NYJ
  10. Kevin Faulk (NE) @ SEA
  11. Larry Johnson (KC) @ DEN
  12. Marshawn Lynch (BUF) vs. MIA
  13. Ryan Grant (GB) vs. HOU
    (Assuming he is healthy)
  14. Tim Hightower (ARI) @ STL
  15. Joseph Addai (IND) @ CIN
  16. Pierre Thomas (NO) vs. ATL
  17. Brian Westbrook (PHI) @ NYG
  18. Steven Jackson (STL) vs. ARI
  19. Ronnie Brown @ BUF
  20. Reggie Bush (NO) vs. ATL
  21. Maurice Jones-Drew (JAX) @ CHI
  22. DeAngelo Williams (CAR) vs. TB
  23. Le’Ron McClain (BAL) vs. WAS
  24. Cedric Benson (CIN) @ IND
  25. Willie Parker (PIT) vs. DAL
  26. Ray Rice (BAL) vs. WAS
  27. Tashard Choice (DAL) @ PIT
    (Bump up if Barber is out)
  28. Kevin Smith (DET) vs. MIN
    (Bump up if Williams boys are out)
  29. Brandon Jackson (GB) vs. HOU
    (Bump up if Grant is out)
  30. Julius Jones (SEA) vs. NE
  31. Maurice Morris (SEA) vs. NE
  32. Jamal Lewis (CLE) @ TEN
  33. Jonathan Stewart (CAR) vs. TB
  34. Willis McGahee (BAL) vs. WAS
  35. Marion Barber (DAL) vs. PIT (Expected to be game-time-decision)
  36. Clinton Portis (WAS) vs. BAL (Expected to be game-time-decision)

Week 14: Start

December 4, 2008 Leave a comment

Ah, the playoffs. Some of you are likely starting Round 1 this week, and others are trying to win one last game (and hoping an assortment of other teams lose one last game) so you can sneak in. As you set your lineups, here are some players who have favorable matchups.

QB Kyle Orton (CHI) vs. JAX: Starting CB Mathis is out for the Jags. And they were not that great to begin with.

QB Gus Frerotte (MIN) @ DET: I bet I could throw for 2 TDs againt Detroit.

QB Peyton Manning (IND) vs. CIN: Last week was an anomaly. He will rebound.

QB Eli Manning (NYG) vs. PHI: I hate the mouth-breather, but he should put up decent numbers.

QB Drew Brees (NO) vs. ATL: This is a must-win for the Saints, and I doubt the Falcons will get as much pressure on Brees as the Bucs did last week.

QB Matt Ryan (ATL) @ NO: He is playing well, and the Saints can be beat through the air.

QB Aaron Rodgers (GB) vs. HOU: Cannot sit him against Houston. He will get his yards and TDs. Especially if Grant is beat up.

QB Chad Pennington (MIA) @ BUF: Remember, this game is being played in a dome in Toronto, not in the wind and cold of Buffalo. Pennington ate them up earlier in the year.

QB Brett Favre (NYJ) @ SF: Brett should play well in the warm(er) weather of the Bay.

QB Matt Cassel (NE) @ SEA: He could throw for 400 on them…

QB Tyler Thigpen (KC) @ DEN: Despite last week, Denver is awful on defense.

QB Jay Cutler (DEN) vs. KC: But so is Kansas City.

QB Kurt Warner (ARI) @ STL: Who wouldn’t love to see Warner torch his former team? I would. But I am biased. He is my fantasy QB.

QB Tony Romo (DAL) @ PIT: I know — the Steelers are tough on defense. But Romo should do well enough to warrant a start. It is a close call, though.

QB Joe Flacco (BAL) vs. WAS: Eh, why not?

RB Matt Forte (CHI) vs. JAX: Apparently he is not familiar with “the rookie wall” concept.

RB Maurice Jones-Drew (JAX) @ CHI: Yards might be low, but he should score. Or not. These things are hard to predict.

RB Adrian Peterson (MIN) @ DET: Well, hard to predict, unless it is AP against Detroit. I think he faced tougher competition in practice while at Oklahoma.

RB Kevin Smith (DET) vs. MIN: But only if the Williams boys’ suspension is upheld. Otherwise, avoid him like the plague. Or, perhaps I should say, avoid him like he plays for the Lions.

RB Brian Westbrook (PHI) @ NYG: I will never suggest sitting him again…

RB Brandon Jacobs (NYG) vs. PHI: Beast.

RB Chris Johnson (TEN) vs. CLE: They should run all over Cleveland.

RB Michael Turner (ATL) @ NO: Yardage might not be high, but always a threat to score.

RB Pierre Thomas (NO) vs. ATL: Deuce is out. And Bush is not 100% yet. So Thomas wins by default.

RB Steve Slaton (HOU) @ GB: Green Bay cannot stop the run. Period.

RB Thomas Jones (NYJ) @ SF: Man on fire.

RB Frank Gore (SF) vs. NYJ: Tough matchup, but he should do well enough.

RB Kevin Faulk (NE) @ SEA: Nothing other than a feeling.

RB Peyton Hillis (DEN) vs. KC: The white boy can play.

RB Larry Johnson (KC) @ DEN: I know. I am as surprised as you.

RB Tim Hightower (ARI) @ STL: I think he will get back on track this week.

RB Steven Jackson (STL) vs. ARI: He looked pretty good last week, and should be in line for more carries this week.

RB DeAngelo Williams (CAR) vs. TB: The kid is playing like they thought he would when they took him in the first round.

WR Matt Jones (JAX) @ CHI: He actually looks like a WR. Although he has an awful attitude (and haircut).

WR Bernard Berrian (MIN) @ DET: Everyone loves them some Lions.

WR Calvin Johnson (DET) vs. MIN: You can’t really sit him, but it’s tough to recommend any Lions.

WR DeSean Jackson (PHI) @ NYG: They are gonna have to throw if they wanna win.

WR Domenik Hixon (NYG) vs. PHI: Its the sexy-pick-of-the-week, so I don’t wanna be left out, right? He should do about as good as he did last week (70+ yards).

WR Braylon Edwards (CLE) @ TEN: Just kidding.

WR Roddy White (ATL) @ NO: You gotta start him. His name is Roddy. Roddy!

WR Lance Moore (NO) vs. ATL: I worry about a guy named Lance, but the kid can play.

WR Marques Colston (NO) vs. ATL: I think Colston will join in the fun again this week.

WR Andre Johnson (HOU) @ GB: Green Bay’s secondary is tough, but Johnson is possibly the best WR in the NFL.

WR Kevin Walter (HOU) @ GB: The Packers moved CB Charles Woodson to safety this week, meaning nickel CB Tramon Williams will be matched up against Walter most of the time. Which means you should start him.

WR Greg Jennings (GB) vs. HOU: Mr. Jennings is pretty good, too.

WR Donald Driver (GB) vs. HOU: Driver is old, but he just keeps playing well. I think he is worth a start this week.

WR Ted Ginn (MIA) @ BUF: He had 177 yards last time they played.

WR Lee Evans (BUF) vs. MIA: He has been up and down this year, but I think the former Badger will connect with QB JP Losman, who actually throws a pretty good deep ball.

WR Randy Moss (NE) @ SEA: He had the dropsies last week. I think he makes up for it this week. In a big way.

WR Brandon Marshall (DEN) vs. KC: Has not been the animal we expected after his first game, but he has been pretty good. And KC is not good on defense.

WR Eddie Royal (DEN) vs. KC: See Marshall, Brandon.

WR Dwayne Bowe (KC) @ DEN: The guy seems to put up 8 to 10 points, one way or another, every week. Well, except for last week. But Oakland has a very good pass defense. KC does not.

WR Mark Bradley (KC) @ DEN: See Bowe, Dwayne.

WR Larry Fitzgerald (ARI) @ STL: The Cardinals passing attack will get back on track. (Rhyme unintentional.)

WR Anquan Boldin (ARI) @ STL: See Fitzgerald, Larry.

WR Terrell Owens (DAL) @ PIT: Very tough matchup, but you cannot sit TO. He loves him some him. So he will get his.

WR Steve Smith (CAR) vs. TB: Almost always finds a way to make plays.

TE Dallas Clark (IND) vs. CIN: I just like his name.

TE Kevin Boss (NYG) vs. PHI: They might have to keep him in to help block, but I think he will get some catches.

TE Jeremy Shockey (NO) vs. ATL: His numbers have not been outrageous, but he has been putting up solid numbers lately.

TE Jason Witten (DAL) @ PIT: Tough matchup, but you gotta start him.

TE Chris Cooley (WAS) @ BAL: Another tough matchup, but again, you gotta start him.

TE Owen Daniels (HOU) @ GB: Start all your white TEs!

TE Tony Gonzalez (KC) @ DEN: Oh, yeah. And start Gonzo, too.