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Week 3 Injury Update

September 28, 2009 1 comment

Here are some key injury updates…

QB Chad Pennington (MIA): Pennington (shoulder) could be done for the year. QB Chad Henne will likely take over, and could be a decent QB2 against favorable matchups. But I would wait and see what he does.

QB Marc Bulger (STL): Bulger (shoulder) could miss some time. If he is out, QB Kyle Boller will start in his place. Boller actually looked alright against GB.

RB Frank Gore (SF): Gore (ankle) could miss a couple weeks. Go get RB Glenn Coffee now.

RB Kevin Smith (DET): It sounds like Smith (shoulder) should be okay, but if you own him, consider adding RB Maurice Morris.

RB Brian Westbrook (PHI): Westbrook (ankle) missed this week’s game with an ankle injury, and it is not clear when he will be back. Go get RB LeSean McCoy now.

RB Marion Barber (DAL): Barber (thigh) is inactive for the game tonight against CAR. Watch to see how DAL uses RB Felix Jones and RB Tashard Choice tonight, because Barber could miss another game or two.’

RB Jamal Lewis (CLE): Lewis was out this week. RB James Harrison got most of the carries in his absence, with RB James Davis getting some touches, as well. But neither really did much. And I would probably avoid any CLE players for the time being, given their woes on offense.

RB Willie Parker (PIT): Parker (toe) is dealing with a minor case of turf toe, which is a notoriously annoying injury. If Parker misses any time, RB Rashard Mendenhall would get the start. Although he has not looked good and the PIT OL is marginal.

WR Wes Welker (NE): Welker missed his second game in a row. WR Julian Edelman played in his place but did not have another Welker-esque outing. Edelman could be worth a roster spot, though, if Welker misses any more time.

WR Laurent Robinson (STL): Robinson (ankle) is likely done for the year after breaking his lower leg. Which is too bad. He was having a great start to the season. I expect WR Keenan Burton to get some extra looks with Robinson out.

WR Chris Henry (CIN): Henry (thigh) has been battling a leg injury all year, which could explain why he has yet to explode onto the scene like I expected/predicted. Or maybe he is just not going to explode. Either way, while he is slowed by injury, WR Andre Caldwell seems to be getting some extra looks.

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Fantasy Impact: Rookies

July 20, 2009 Leave a comment

Generally, rookies do not have much of an impact on the fantasy landscape. But, just like everything else, the fantasy world is reactionary. So, since a few rookies — e.g. RB Steve Slaton, RB Chris Johnson, and RB Matt Forte — had great seasons last year, people will expect the class of 2009 to produce some stars. Unfortunately, I do not expect this to happen. But there are some guys who you should consider on draft day.

QB Matt Stafford (DET): It is not even clear yet whether he will be the starter. I would bench him for a year. But I am not in charge. Even if he does end up as the starter, he is not a worthwhile fantasy option. Sure, he will throw a few jump-ball-touchdowns to WR Calvin Johnson, but he will be way too inconsistent to rely on.

QB Josh Freeman (TB): The Josh-Freeman-as-starter camp has been growing lately, but a lot can change between now and Week 1. Either way, he is not a viable fantasy option. Do not be fooled by the (appearance of) success of QB Matt Ryan and QB Joe Flacco last year.

QB Mark Sanchez (NYJ): See Stafford, Matt and Freeman, Josh.

RB Knowshon Moreno (DEN): If you are looking for someone who could make an inmpact, it is Knowshon. As of now, it looks like he is set to be the starter in Denver. And he has a very attractive combination of running and receiving skills. However, I do have some concerns about how new HC Josh McDaniels will use Moreno, given his extremely annoying tendency in NE to use multiple (marginal) RBs. Either way, the competition is fairly weak, so I expect Moreno to get every opportunity to shine. (But I am still holding out hope that RB Ryan Torain will recover from his knee injury and become the fantasy stud I expected him to be last year. But, at this point, that seems unlikely.)

RB Lesean McCoy (PHI): Fact: RB Brian Westbrook is breaking down. It is unfortunate. Because he has been a great fantasy player for a long time. But he is nearing 30, and he has a ton of touches over the past few years. Even if he can stay healthy this year (which is extremely unlikely), McCoy should get plenty of touches as the Eagles try to keep Westbrook fresh. And if Westbrook goes down, McCoy should do very well in that offense, which is set up to give RBs big numbers. If you draft Westbrook, do yourself a favor and take McCoy as a handcuff.

RB Beanie Wells (ARI): The Cardinals throw too much for Wells to be a stud, but he is by far the best RB (sorry, Edge) the Cards have had in awhile. RB Tim Hightower has a great name, but he had his chance to shine last year and he was less than impressive. I am not a huge Wells fan in general, because I think he lacks the mental and physical toughness necessary to be a good RB, but he does have the skills. So, if he can stay healthy, he should get plenty of goal line carries in Arizona’s offense, because they run the ball surprisingly often inside the 10-yard line.

RB Donald Brown (IND): I love this kid. He is smart and not flashy. And he ended up in a great situation. RB Joseph Addai has struggled with injuries lately (ahem, understatement), so Brown could get plenty of chances. Even if Addai stays healthy, the Colts will likely give Brown some carries early. They do not draft guys high to let them sit. And if (read: when) Addai goes down, he could be a stud in that offense (assuming QB Peyton Manning trusts him in pass protection).

RB Shonn Green (NYJ): I am skeptical of this kid. He was a one-year wonder in college and has never really impressed me. He did put up some good numbers last year at Iowa, but I just do not see him replicating that in the NFL (this year, at least). He is a guy to keep an eye on, though, because he is a very physical runner and could do well in NY, since they love to run the ball. Plus, RB Thomas Jones is getting old and RB Leon Washington is not a full-time RB. But the QB situation does concern me. Neither QB Mark Sanchez nor QB Kellen Clemens are going to scare many teams into not playing 8 in the box.

WR Michael Crabtree (SF): Crabtree is a great talent. Do not let his foot injury (or the fact that his coach made him cry) concern you. You should, however, be concerned about the QB situation in SF. Because, honestly, they are terrible. The problem with WRs is that, no matter how talented they are, they need a QB to throw them the ball. However, Crabtree could be a poor QB’s best friend, since he has fantastic body control and catches the ball at its highest point. Plus, he immediately becomes the best receiving option on that team. But I am guessing someone in your fantasy league will over-value him.

WR Brian Robiske (CLE): I love this kid, even though he played for THE Ohio State University. He has exactly what you need to succeed as a rookie WR in the NFL — intelligence, good hands, and route-running skills. Plus, he is penciled in as the starter opposite WR Braylon Edwards. Obviously there are QB concerns. But he should put up solid numbers as a rookie.

WR Hakeem Nicks (NYG): I think Nicks will be buried on the NYG depth chart behind guys like WR Steve Smith, WR Dominic Hixon, and WR Mario Manningham. People love Nicks because of his behind-the-back catch in college last year. Unfortunately, circus catches like that are not what you need to do well as a rookie WR in the NFL. So look for Nicks to be worked in slowly by the Giants.

WR Kenny Britt (TEN): The Titans sound like they want to bring this kid along slowly. Which is somewhat surprising, given their lack of talent at WR. But, again, it is difficult for rookie WRs to do well in the NFL. And the Titans do not pass the ball often enough to make their second or third option at WR valuable for fantasy purposes.

WR Percy Harvin (MIN): He is a superb athlete. But a very marginal WR. And usually, rookie WRs who have success in the NFL are very polished. However, early rumors out of Minnesota are that they will use Harvin in a variety of ways to try and get him the ball. Either way, I expect him to struggle as a WR, making him a very risky prospect. My guess is someone in your league will over-value him.

WR Jeremy Maclin (PHI): Last year, we saw WR DeSean Jackson blow up as a rookie in Philly. Could it be Maclin’s turn this year? Other than Jackson, he really does not have much competition. WR Kevin Curtis is solid, but he is getting old and, well, he’s white (and not named WR Wes Welker). I think Philly will give Maclin his chances, but I do not expect him to do much. If your league gives points for return TDs, though, bump him up a little.

TE Jared Cook (TEN): Rookie TEs are tough. Especially thin ones with suspect blocking abilities on teams that love to run. However, Cook is a great receiver and could provide a nice red zone  target for QB Kerry Collins. Recall that last year, Collins and the Titans offense made TE Bo Scaife fantasy-relevant. Cook may be young and raw, but he is twice the (receiving) talent of Scaife.

TE Shawn Nelson (BUF): Nelson is very talented, but as with Cook, he has suspect blocking abilities. However, there is very little competition in Buffalo, so look for him to get plenty of chances. With WR Terrell Owens in town, and guys like WR Lee Evans, RB Marshawn Lynch, and RB Fred Jackson getting looks in the passing game, do not expect too much.

Week 16: WR Rankings

December 19, 2008 Leave a comment

Week 16 WR Rankings. Also, see my RB Rankings and QB Rankings.

  1. Larry Fitzgerald vs. NE
  2. Randy Moss @ ARI
  3. Calvin Johnson vs. NO
  4. Greg Jennings @ CHI
  5. Antonio Bryant vs. SD
  6. Roddy White @ MIN
  7. Andre Johnson @ OAK
  8. Marques Colston @ DET
  9. Wes Welker vs. ARI
  10. Laveranues Coles @ SEA
  11. Dwayne Bowe vs. MIA
  12. Isaac Brurce @ STL
  13. Donald Driver @ CHI
  14. Steve Breaston vs. NE
  15. Lance Moore @ DET
  16. Terrell Owens vs. BAL
  17. Steve Smith @ NYG
  18. Brandon Marshall vs. BUF
  19. Jerricho Cotchery @ SEA
  20. TJ Houshmanzadeh @ CLE
  21. Anquan Boldin vs. NE (game-time decision)
  22. Vincent Jackson @ TB
  23. Bernard Berrian vs. ATL
  24. Eddie Royal vs. BUF
  25. Domenik Hixon vs. CAR
  26. Lee Evans @ DEN
  27. Hines Ward @ TEN
  28. Deion Branch vs. NYJ
  29. Devin Hester vs. GB
  30. Santana Moss @ PHI

Week 15: WR Rankings

December 11, 2008 1 comment

WR Rankings for week 15. Also, check out the QB Rankings and RB Rankings.

  1. Larry Fitzgerald vs. MIN
  2. Roddy White vs. TB
  3. Anquan Boldin vs. MIN
  4. Brandon Marshall vs. CAR
  5. Greg Jennings @ JAX
  6. Reggie Wayne @ DET
  7. Steve Smith @ DEN
  8. Andre Johnson vs. TEN
  9. Dwayne Bowe vs. SD
  10. Terrell Owens vs. NYG
  11. Calvin Johnson vs. IND
  12. Randy Moss @ OAK
  13. Marques Colston @ CHI
  14. Antonio Bryant vs. ATL
  15. Devin Hester vs. NO
  16. Lance Moore @ CHI
  17. Domenik Hixon @ DAL
  18. DeSean Jackson vs. CLE
  19. Marvin Harrison @ DET
  20. Vincent Jackson @ KC
  21. Eddie Royal vs. CAR
  22. Santana Moss @ CIN
  23. Wes Welker @ OAK
  24. Hines Ward @ BAL
  25. Deion Branch @ STL
  26. Steve Breaston vs. MIN
  27. Ted Ginn vs. SF
  28. Donald Driver @ JAX
  29. Laveranues Coles vs. BUF
  30. Kevin Walter vs. TEN
  31. Justin Gage @ HOU
  32. TJ Houshmandzadeh vs. WAS
  33. Bernard Berrian vs. ARI
  34. Jerricho Cotchery vs. BUF
  35. Santonio Holmes @ BAL
  36. Lee Evans @ NYJ
  37. Mark Clayton vs. PIT
  38. Anthony Gonzalez @ DET
  39. Torry Holt vs. SEA
  40. Amani Toomer @ DAL

Week 14: WR Rankings

December 4, 2008 Leave a comment

Check it out. I ranked the QBs. And I ranked the RBs. So here is my first attempt at ranking the WRs. Damn there are a lot of them…

  1. Larry Fitzgerald (ARI) @ STL
  2. Anquan Boldin (ARI) @ STL
  3. Greg Jennings (GB) vs. HOU
  4. Roddy White (ATL) @ NO
  5. Andre Johnson (HOU) @ GB
  6. Terrell Owens (DAL) @ PIT
  7. Lance Moore (NO) vs. ATL
  8. Randy Moss (NE) @ SEA
  9. Reggie Wayne (IND) @ CIN
  10. Marques Colston (NO) vs. ATL
  11. Brandon Marshall (DEN) vs. KC
  12. Calvin Johnson (DET) vs. MIN
  13. Dwayne Bowe (KC) @ DEN
  14. Bernard Berrian (MIN) @ DET
  15. Eddie Royal (DEN) vs. KC
  16. Domenik Hixon (NYG) vs. PHI
  17. Steve Smith (CAR) vs. TB
  18. DeSean Jackson (PHI) @ NYG
  19. Hines Ward (PIT) vs. DAL
  20. Steve Breaston (ARI) @ STL
  21. Ted Ginn (MIA) @ BUF
  22. Laveranues Coles (NYJ) @ SF
  23. Kevin Walter (HOU) @ GB
  24. Donald Driver (GB) vs. HOU
  25. Jerricho Cotchery (NYJ) @ SF
  26. Santonio Holmes (PIT) vs. DAL
  27. Marvin Harrison (IND) @ CIN
  28. Lee Evans (BUF) vs. MIA
  29. Mark Clayton (BAL) vs. WAS
  30. Anthony Gonzalez (IND) @ CIN
  31. Mark Bradley (KC) @ DEN
    UPDATE:
    Bradley (calf) is OUT.
  32. Santana Moss (WAS) @ BAL
  33. Matt Jones (JAX) @ CHI
  34. Wes Welker (NE) @ SEA
  35. Devin Hester (CHI) vs. JAX
  36. Justin Gage (TEN) vs. CLE
  37. TJ Houshmandzadeh (CIN) vs. IND
  38. Torry Holt (STL) vs. ARI
  39. Roy E. Williams (DAL) @ PIT
  40. Chad Johnson (CIN) vs. IND
  41. Braylon Edwards (CLE) @ TEN

Week 14: Sit

December 4, 2008 Leave a comment

Here are some players who have less-than-ideal matchups. I would probably sit these guys, unless you have no other (reasonable) options.

QB David Garrard (JAX) @ CHI: Chicago’s pass defense is not that great, but Garrard has just been too inconsistent this year.

QB Daunte Culpepper (DET) vs. MIN: Not even against his former team… Although he did have his best game last year (when he played for the Raiders) against the Dolphins…

QB Ryan Fitzpatrick (CIN) @ IND: Indy is tough against the pass.

QB Donovan McNabb (PHI) @ NYG: The Giants are just too good.

QB Ken Dorsey (CLE) @ TEN: I never thought I would have to actually write that.

QB Matt Schaub (HOU) @ GB: He is expected to start, but it’s hard to say how he will play. I would stay away.

QB JP Losman (BUF) vs. MIA: I do think he will connect with Evans on a long TD, but I also think he will connect with a few Dolphins.

QB Shaun Hill (SF) vs. NYJ: I don’t like his chances.

QB Matt Hasselbeck (SEA) vs. NE: Didn’t this guy used to be a Pro Bowler?

QB Marc Bulger (STL) vs. ARI: Not even against Arizona.

QB Ben Roethlisberger (PIT) vs. DAL: He “tweaked” his knee in practice this week, and simply has not played all that well this year. Dallas is not great on defense, but… well, I don’t really know. I just do not get a good feeling about this one. Which sucks, because I have to start him in one of my leagues…

QB Jason Campbell (WAS) @ BAL: No way.

QB Jake Delhomme (CAR) vs. TB: Tampa may have the most underrated defense in the NFL.

QB Jeff Garcia (TB) @ CAR: Did anyone else get a little creeped out when they watched the highlights on ESPN and saw Garcia slap Chucky on the butt?

RB Cedric Benson (CIN) @ IND: Indy is weak against the run, so if you are desperate, throw him in. But the kid simply is not very good.

RB Jamal Lewis (CLE) @ TEN: No.

RB Reggie Bush (NO) vs. ATL: He has practiced “fully” this week, but I still think he will struggle.

RB Ryan Grant (GB) vs. HOU: I want to say “start” him, but his thumb injury worries me. As does the emergence of RB Brandon Jackson.

RB Ronnie Brown @ BUF: He will do pretty well, but I think (hope?) you have better options.

RB Julius Jones (SEA) vs. NE: No go.

RB Maurice Morris (SEA) vs. NE: Named the starter. Does that even matter?

RB Marion Barber (DAL) vs. PIT: Pittsburgh + Injured toe = Bench.

RB Clinton Portis (WAS) vs. BAL: I love me some Portis (does that sound weird to anyone else?), but this matchup is too tough, especially given his healthy concerns and how poorly the Skins are playing.

RB Willis McGahee (BAL) vs. WAS: I have no idea what is going on in Baltimore.

RB Jonathan Stewart (CAR) vs. TB: Injury issues. Plus the DeAngelo factor.

WR Devin Hester (CHI) vs. JAX: What happened to the most feared return man in football?

WR Chad Johnson (CIN) vs. IND: I still laugh every time I see “Ocho Cinco”…

WR TJ Houshmandzadeh (CIN) vs. IND: Indy is pretty solid aginst the pass.

WR Braylon Edwards (CLE) @ TEN: Never again.

WR Justin Gage (TEN) vs. CLE: They will be running the ball a lot. And you do not get points for blocking.

WR Laveranues Coles (NYJ) @ SF: Too inconsistent.

WR Jerricho Cotchery (NYJ) @ SF: See Coles, Laveranues.

WR Wes Welker (NE) @ SEA: He is not listed on the injury report, but I have a hard time believing he will be 100% after the vicious hit he took last week. But if anyone can do it, I suspect it is this guy. So start him at your own risk.

WR Torry Holt (STL) vs. ARI: He is old.

WR Roy E. Williams (DAL) @ PIT: I really thought he would come on in Dallas. But I guess not.

WR Santana Moss (WAS) @ BAL: Tough matchup. And Campbell is not playing well.

WR Mark Clayton (BAL) vs. WAS: Do not let last week fool you. He is having a very average year.

Week 12: Start

November 20, 2008 Leave a comment

START:

QB Peyton Manning (IND) @ SD: Peyton is playing great right, and SD gives up the most points to fantasy QBs.

QB Jeff Garcia (TB) @ DET: Detroit is awful. Even Garcia should put up big numbers.

QB Brady Quinn (CLE) vs. HOU: Broken finger and all, he still has a good matchup.

QB Jason Campbell (WAS) @ SEA: Campbell has not been playing all that well lately due to some tough matchups, but the Seahawks will be much easier.

QB Kyle Orton (CHI) @ STL: Yes, Orton has a bum ankle, and he played poorly lastl week against Green Bay, but the Rams are weak against the pass.

QB Gus Frerotte (MIN) @ JAX: He will probably have a few turnovers, but Jacksonville is friendly to opposing QBs, so he is still worth a start.

QB Kerry Collins (TEN) vs. NYJ: The Jets, much like the past few Titans opponents, will likely focus on the run. Although the Jets are solid upfront, they are vulnerable against the pass.

QB Aaron Rodgers (GB) @ NO: Rodgers is healthy again, and should do well against a weak New Orleans pass defense. And this game is likely to be high-scoring.

QB Eli Manning (NYG) @ ARI: The Cardinals give up the most passing TDs in the NFL, and Eli should do pretty well.

Other QBs to start:
QB Drew Brees (NO) vs. GB
QB Jay Cutler (DEN) vs. OAK
QB Kurt Warner (ARI) vs. NYG
QB Tyler Thigpen (KC) vs. BUF
QB Matt Cassel (NE) @ MIA
QB David Garrard (JAX) vs. MIN
QB Shaun Hill (SF) @ DAL
QB Ben Roethlisberger (PIT) vs. CIN
QB Tony Romo (DAL) vs. SF

RB Marshawn Lynch (BUF) @ KC: Kansas City is extremely soft against the run. And QB Trent Edwards is not playing well lately, so Buffalo will likely lean on Lynch.

RB Matt Forte (CHI) @ STL: Forte has a great matchup.

RB Justin Fargas (OAK) @ DEN: I am hesitant even to suggest starting an Oakland player, but Denver is so soft against the run that someone has to do well, right?

RB Warrick Dunn (TB) @ DET: Dunn steps in for the injured RB Earnest Graham, and gets an easy matchup.

RB Peyton Hillis (DEN) vs. OAK: It is unclear how much of a role RB Tatum Bell will play in Denver, but I think Hillis will at least remain the goal line back. So he is worth a start against a very soft Raiders run defense.

RB LaDainian Tomlinson (SD) vs IND: Unfortunately, LT is no longer a must-start. But he has a good matchup this week against Indy, who gave up 150+ yards to RB Steve Slaton last week.

RB Jamal Lewis (CLE) vs. HOU: Lewis is playing pretty well this year, and has a good matchup this week.

RB Marion Barber (DAL) vs. SF: You gotta start Barber every week.

RB Willie Parker (PIT) vs. CIN: Parker is healthy again and has a pretty good matchup against the Bengals.

RB Chris Johnson (TEN) vs. NYJ: I know he has a tough matchup, and he has not been doing all that well lately, but I still like him this week.

Other RBs to start:
RB Steve Slaton (HOU) @ CLE
RB Clinton Portis (WAS) @ SEA
RB Adrian Peterson (MIN) @ JAX
RB Frank Gore (SF) @ DAL
RB Joseph Addai (IND) @ SD
RB Ryan Grant (GB) @ NO

WR Sanata Moss (WAS) @ SEA: Seattle is just plain bad.

WR Terrell Owens (DAL), WR Roy Williams (DAL) vs. SF: Romo is (mostly) healthy, and SF presents a very favorable matchup for the Dallas WRs.

WR Donnie Avery (STL) vs. CHI: Chicago is vulnerable against the pass but stout against the run, so the Rams will likely be throwing the ball often. You might even consider starting WR Torry Holt.

WR Antonio Bryant (TB) @ DET: Everyone scores against Detroit.

WR Plaxico Burress (NYG) @ ARI: Arizona gives up a lot of passing TDs, so look for Eli and Plax to hook up.

WR Randy Moss (NE), WR Wes Welker (NE) @ MIA: Miami has a pretty weak secondary, so Moss and Welker should do pretty well.

WR Andre Johnson (HOU) @ CLE: Cleveland is not awful against the pass, but they are not good enough to stop AJ. Even though he is not as hot as he was early in the year, he is still a must-start.

WR Greg Jennings (GB), WR Donald Driver (GB) @ NO: Look for the Packers to run the ball quite a bit against the Saints, but I think they will also move the ball through the air quite a bit. I have a feeling there will be a lot of offense in the Superdome on MNF.

WR Greg Camarillo (MIA), WR Ted Ginn (MIA) vs. NE: Camarillo has to earn that new paycheck. And Ginn has been playing well.

WR Hines Ward (PIT), WR Santonio Holmes (PIT) vs. CIN: Cincinatti is decent against the pass, but Roethlisberger should be able to spread the ball around and get both Ward and Holmes some catches.

Other WRs to start:
WR Reggie Wayne (IND) @ SD
WR Marvin Harrison (IND) @ SD
WR Anquan Boldin (ARI) vs. NYG
WR Larry Fitzgerald (ARI) vs. NYG
WR Dwayne Bowe (KC) vs. BUF
WR Bernard Berrian (MIN) @ JAX
WR Brandon Marshall (DEN) vs. OAK
WR Eddie Royal (DEN) vs. OAK
WR Steve Smith (CAR) @ ATL
WR Roddy White (ATL) vs. CAR
WR Lance Moore (NO) vs. GB
WR Justin Gage (TEN) vs. NYJ
WR Braylon Edwards (CLE) vs. HOU
(seriously)