Matt Schaub

September 20, 2009 Leave a comment

Yeah. Sorry about that one. Jesus.

Categories: Random Thoughts

Week 2 Injury Report

September 18, 2009 Leave a comment

Here are some notable players who are injured and what you should do about it:

QB Matt Cassel (KC): Cassel (knee) is expected to be a game-time decision (GTD). I would avoid him. OAK has a solid pass defense.

QB Donovan McNabb (PHI): McNabb (ribs) is out this week and could even miss a couple more.

QB Matt Schaub (HOU): Schaub (ankle) is reportedly feeling better and will be close to 100% this week against TEN.

Some possible fill-ins who might be available on waivers include:  QB Trent Edwards (BUF), QB Shaun Hill (SF), QB Mark Sanchez (NYJ), QB Byron Leftwich (TB), and QB Jason Campbell (WAS).

RB LaDainian Tomlinson (SD): Tomlinson (ankle) is out. RB Darren Sproles should get some extra touches. And RB Michael Bennett might even get some work.

RB Pierre Thomas (NO): Thomas (knee) was looking good-to-go earlier this week, but now is reportedly questionable (50-50). I would avoid him. But since he might play, it makes using RB Mike Bell somewhat risky.

Some possible fill-ins at RB who might be available on waivers include: RB Michael Bush (OAK), RB Ahmad Bradshaw (NYG), RB Leon Washington (NYJ), RB Kevin Faulk (NE), and RB Correll Buckhalter (DEN).

WR Anquan Boldin (AZ): Boldin (hamstring) is questionable (50-50) but I say he will probably play (which, of course, means he will not). I wish AZ would rest him. But he generally refuses to sit unless he absolutely has to (i.e. last year when he broke his jaw — and even then he only missed two games).

WR Anthony Gonzalez (IND): Gonzalez (knee) is expected to miss up to 8 weeks. WR Pierre Garcon should step into his spot and is worth a start if you are hurting for WRs.

WR Antonio Bryant (TB): Bryant (knee) suffered a set-back last week and is unlikely to play. Avoid him either way. WR Michael Clayton played well last week and makes a solid start with Bryant out.

WR Andrew Walter (HOU): WTF? Is every single WR who’s name starts with “A” injured this week?

WR Steve Breaston (AZ): Breaston (knee) is questionable (50-50). If he (and Boldin) are out, WR Jerheme Urban will get more looks and makes a soild start.

If you are desperate at WR this week, consider these guys (who are probably on waivers): WR Laurent Robinson, WR Pierre Garcon, WR Kenny Britt, WR Michael Clayton, WR Jerheme Urban, WR Robert Meachem, WR Davone Bess, and WR Chansi Stuckey.

Anyone I missed? Post a comment if you have a question about an injured player and I will get back to you…

Coach’s Kid & Point Shaver

September 17, 2009 Leave a comment

The “Coach’s Kid” is a player who most people would never expect to do well but ends up turning in a good game. If you put him in your lineup, people will ask: Why is that guy even in the lineup? He is terrible. Maybe he is the coach’s kid.

This week, the “Coach’s Kid” is RB Ahmad Bradshaw (NYG) @ DAL. Bradshaw had a respectable showing in week 1 (71 total yards on 15 touches), and now he is up against a DAL team that let the RBBC in TB run all over them (31 carries for 174 yards and 2 TDs). I think both RB Brandon Jacobs and Bradshaw will have solid games, as NYG will look to run the ball quite a bit against their division foe.

The “Point Shaver” is a good player who, for some unknown reason, fails to perform this week. Much like a stud basketball player mightmiss a few free throws at the end of a meaningless game to put some extra cash in his pocket.

This week, the “Point Shaver” is RB Matt Forte (CHI) vs. PIT. Do you see a trend here? Last week, I picked a RB who was playing against PIT. Basically, any RB that is playing against PIT is going to disappoint. And Forte disappointed last week against GB. So he will have a tough time against PIT this week.

How did I do last week? I suggested sitting RB Chris Johnson, who managed just 6.8 points. And I recommended starting RB Mike Bell, who put up 143 yards, but also lost a fumble, so he had 12.3 points. I call those both wins for me.

Yes… No… Maybe?

September 17, 2009 Leave a comment

“Yes… No… Maybe?” is my version of the start-sit post. For the most part, I avoided the obvious (i.e. “Start Adrian Peterson and Drew Brees!”) and tried to focus on the fringe players. Beginning next week, I will recap how I did the previous week. So, eventually, when it turns out I am wrong all the time, you can pull a Costanza and just do the opposite.

And, just in case you are confused by the obvious nature of the post, here is a key:

Yes = Start these players. They have a high likelihood of performing well.
No = Sit these players. The risk is too high that they will struggle.
Maybe = Start these guys if you do not have better options. They could do well. Or they could fail.

Yes

QB Trent Edwards (BUF) vs. TB: Last week, QB Tony Romo put up a career-high in passing yards against TB. I doubt Edwards will replicate that effort, but he should have a good game. He has the weapons and TB is vulnerable.

RB Ray Rice (BAL) @ SD: OAK was able to push the SD DL around last week and managed to put up some rushing yards. BAL is a better running team, so Rice should get plenty of work. RB Willis McGahee and RB LeRon McClain could steal his TDs, but that is no reason not to use him. He should have around 100 total yards again.

RB Fred Jackson (BUF) vs. TB: Jackson did very well last week in place of suspended RB Marshawn Lynch, and he should have another solid outing against TB, who is not nearly as strong on DEF as most people think.

RB Clinton Portis (WAS) vs. STL: Portis is probably a must-start guy each week, but there are rumors that hsi touches are going to be limited and RB Ladell Betts is going to get more work. But RB Julius Jones went nuts on STL last week, so Portis should have a big day.

WR Louis Murphy (OAK) vs. KC: Yes, I know he has the fat caveman throwing him the ball. But there are just not many other options in OAK outside of TE Zach Miller (here’s a free one: Start Miller, too). Murphy was inches away from scoring 2 TDs last week and should have another good day against a KC pass DEF that struggles.

NO

QB Jay Cutler (CHI) vs. PIT: I doubt Cutler wil blow up and have 4 INTs again — although it would be awesome if he did — but I would consider other options this week. PIT is very good on DEF and could give him troubles, just like GB did with their version of the 3-4.

QB Matt Schaub (HOU) @ TEN: Schaub struggled last week against NYJ, and TEN is just as good or better than NYJ against the pass. TEN does not have a shutdown CB like NYJ has in CB Darrelle Revis, but I think they will contain Schaub enough to make him bench-worthy. Plus, I think his ankle is still bothering him.

RB LaDainian Tomlinson (SD) vs. BAL: LT is banked up with an ankle injury and is expected to be a game-time decision. Even if he does play, I have very little confidence that he will have a good day against the BAL DEF.

RB Steve Slaton (HOU) @ TEN: This was a tough one. Partly becuase I have him in one of my leagues. But also because, last year, he was the only RB to put up over 100 yards rushing on TEN. And he did it twice. So he is a lock to have a good game again, right? I wish. I think he will struggle. He is a borderline “no/maybe” though. Start him if you are really desperate.

WR Devin Hester (CHI) vs. PIT: But for one blown coverage last week in the GB game, Hester did nothing. I do not think PIT will blow coverage and let him get behind them, even without SS Troy Polomalu.

MAYBE

RB Pierre Thomas (NO) @ PHI: Thomas claims to be healthy and ready to go. If this is true, he should get enough work against PHI to make him worthy of a start. I think RB Mike Bell will continue to get some reps as they ease Thomas back in, but Thomas will be the man once he is 100%.

RB Darren Sproles (SD) vs. BAL: I am not sure why I hate Sproles. I was not high on him coming into this year. And now, even with LT hurt, I am still not all that high on him. He is very involved in the passing game, which is great. But he simply is not an every-down RB. However, with LT out, he makes a good start if you do not have other options. But I think BAL will do a better job of containing him than OAK did.

RB Kevin Smith (DET) vs. MIN: Smith could have an okay day, because he is involved in the passing game. And that is the only reason he is a “maybe” and not a “no”. MIN is just too stout against the run. But this has “trap game” written all over it… MIN has all the hype, and DET has not won a game in a long time. Who knows a good bookie? I just got paid…

RB Willie Parker (PIT) @ CHI: I am not a fan of FWP this year. He looked very marginal in week 1. And the PIT OL is not great. But CHI is without MLB Brian Urlacher, which makes him slightly more attractive.

WR Laurent Robinson (STL) @ WAS: Robinson had a solid week 1 and led the team in targets. And he had a couple red zone looks. STL is gonna be losing so they will have to pass. Which makes him a sneaky WR3 play this week if you need help.

Leave a comment and let me know what you think. Or, if you have other start-sit dilemmas, leave a comment and I will respond.

This is what I think…

September 16, 2009 Leave a comment

1. I think RB Leon Washington is underrated. He had 19 touches in week 1 after averaging 7.7 last year. I think NYJ wants to get him involved more. Which is a good thing.

2. I think I hate DAL. When I was in the old stadium, I quickly made my way to the 50-yard line and spat on the star. That is how much I hate DAL. But I will admit, seeing QB Tony Romo pass for a career high in yards in his first game after WR Terrell Owens left made me smile.

3. I think the OAK defense looks a lot better with Greg Ellis and Richard Seymour on the DL. Now if they could just find a QB who was not grossly overweight and had a forehead that did not resemble that of a caveman.

4. I think RB Adrian Peterson is a beast. Watching him literally throw defenders off him was comical. But you almost feel bad for CLE. Remember, it was CLE who got abused in a similar fashion by RB Jamal Lewis a few years ago.

5. I think RB Ray Rice looked very good as the featured RB in BAL. But, as expected, RB Willis McGahee and RB LeRon McClain stole his TDs. Why didn’t he try a little harder to score on his run down inside the 5 yard line? He must hate his fantasy owners.

6. I think I feel bad for anyone who drafted CAR WR Steve Smith this year. QB Jake Delhomme looks absolutely terrible. I might even take the fat caveman over him.

7. I think the RBBC in OAK with RB Michael Bush and RB Darren McFadden may render both of them useless due to unpredictability. Although Bush has an edge as the goal line back.

8. I think you can count me among the people who did not think QB Drew Brees was worth a 1st round pick. Right now, anyone who took him that high is pretty happy with themselves. But he can’t throw for 6 TDs every game, can he? No, really … Can he?

9. I think I am still not convinced that RB Darren Sproles can be an every-down RB. He looks good when he gets the ball in space, but he has a hard time running inside. Which limits his value. But with RB LaDainian Tomlinson suffering an ankle injury, and SD cutting RB Gartrell Johnson, we may see a lot more of Sproles.

10. I think there is no better player in the NFL who is stuck on a worse team than RB Steven Jackson? (Maybe WR Calvin Johnson?) You have to feel bad for S-Jax. Let him run behind the MIN OL and we would be talking about the possibility of 2,000 yards rushing, just like we are with AP.

Week 2 Watch List

September 15, 2009 Leave a comment

The “Watch List” is a group of players to keep an eye on. In most leagues, they are not worth adding right now. But they could be worthy of a roster spot if they keep performing.

QB Mark Sanchez (NYJ): He is a rookie and will have his up and down games, but he could be a solid backup and a good play against weak matchups.

QB Michael Vick (PHI): I am (still) not a huge fan. But QB Donovan McNabb is injured, which could open the door for Vick. QB Jeff Garcia is an option if McNabb misses time, as well.

QB Jamarcus Russell (OAK): Just kidding. He is fat and terrible.

RB Laurence Maroney (NE): He had the most carries of any NE RB in week 1. He only gained 32 yards on those 10 carries, but it looks like he will be involved. Watch and see how they use him.

WR Laurent Robinson (STL): Robinson looked pretty good in week 1. And it looks like STL will have to throw the ball a lot this year, because they are awful.

WR Mario Manningham (NYG): Manningham showed some explosiveness and play-making ability in week 1, and could get increased looks with WR Hakeem Nicks sidelined with a foot injury.

WR Louis Murphy (OAK): Murphy seemed to be the most effective WR for OAK in week 1. I think his looks will go down when Schilens gets back, but as long as he keeps getting open, I think he will get more looks than WR Darius Heyward-Bey.

WR Jerhame Urban (ARI): If WR Anquan Boldin continues to be limited by his hamstring injury and/or WR Steve Breaston misses any more time with his sore knee, Urban could get extra looks.

WR Johnny Knox (CHI): The rookie has some speed and could turn into an option for QB Jay Cutler, as soon as he realizes which team he is supposed to be throwing the ball to.

TE Ben Watson (NE): Two great TD catches in the win over BUF. I doubt he is that involved every week, but obviously he is part of the passing game (for now…).

TE Todd Heap (BAL): He’s healthy. So he’s got that going for him. And he actually looks like a player again. Keep an eye on him.

Green Bay D/ST: I talked about the GB DEF as a sleeper before the season, and they showed up in week 1 by causing 4 turnovers, one of which was nearly returned for a TD. Look for this group to keep attacking the QB and causing turnovers all year.

So, you know, like, watch those guys this week.

Week 2 Waiver Wire

September 15, 2009 Leave a comment

Here are some names to consider adding to your roster if they are available in your league:

QB Trent Edwards (BUF): He has OL issues, but he also has weapons. A solid backup.

QB Joe Flacco (BAL): Flacco looked sharper than expected in his first action of 2009. He could surprise some people this year.

RB Cedric Benson (CIN): He is the main ball carrier in CIN. Which is worth something.

RB Mike Bell (NO): His value depends on the health of RB Pierre Thomas, who could be back as soon as this week. But if Thomas misses any more time, Bell is a good short-term fix.

RB Michael Bush (OAK): The Raiders love to run the ball, and Bush looked pretty good against SD. He is in a RBBC with RB Darren McFadden, but he appears to be the goal line RB.

RB Cadillac Williams (TB): I love Cadillac for coming back from not one, but two patella tendon injuries and still looking like a real NFL RB. But I hate the fact that this means I will have to deal with awful car-related puns and jokes all season.

RB Tim Hightower (ARI): Hightower fell in drafts and even went undrafted in many leagues due to concerns that RB Beanie Wells would steal his carries. But ARI used him extensively, especially in the passing game, in week 1.

WR Chaz Schilens (OAK): Schilens probably will not be back this week, but he could be back next week. I think he has the potential to be a solid WR3 once he works his way back into game-shape.

WR Kenny Britt (TEN): Britt made a pretty good showing in week 1 for a TEN team that threw the ball surprisingly well.

WR Steve Smith (NYG): Smith is a solid possession WR that should get consistent looks — he had 8 in week 1 — but likely will never have a blow up game.

WR Justin Gage (TEN): Yeah. Two TEN WRs. Who knew? Gage had 7 catches for 78 yards and a TD in week 1.

WR Austin Collie (IND): Collie should get quite a few more looks with WR Anthony Gonzalez sidelined.

TE Jeremy Shockey (NO): After having zero TDs last year, Shockey had 2 TDs in week 1. I think he will have a solid year.

TE Zach Miller (OAK): Based on the game against SD, QB Jamarcus Russell, Miller could get a lot of looks. Which might even turn into a few catches.

TE Brent Celek (PHI): As expected, Celek was a big part of the passing game in PHI. If McNabb is out for any extended period of time, Celek could become even more valuable, as any backup QB will likely look for an outlet.

Did I forget anyone? Probably. But this is good enough for now.